The thinking error that impairs lawyers' effectiveness
Bayes’ Theorem explains why smart lawyers aren’t persuasive—and how to fix it.
Most people think evaluation works like a light switch.
Either you’re right or you aren’t. Either the opposing counsel’s position is good or bad.
That’s not true rational thinking.
The game-changing theorem
Bayes’ Theorem—dating back to 18th century mathematician Thomas Bayes—reveals how to weigh evidence.
It’s probably the most important concept any rationa…



